Final Score: Marlins 2 - Orioles 5
Friday, July 11, 2025 at 7:05 PM ET

Marlins @ Orioles

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
42-50 Rating 1461
Form: LWWLL
Model Probability
40%
60%
Projected margin: Baltimore Orioles +0.8
Orioles
42-50 Rating 1510
Form: WWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Orioles
All-time wins 30 14
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 5.1 3.9
Last meeting 6 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Orioles
Games played 92 92
Avg runs scored 4.2 4.2
Avg runs conceded 5.0 5.0
Win percentage 46% 46%
Away win % / Home win % 49% 48%