Final Score: Marlins 1 - Cardinals 7
Monday, July 28, 2025 at 7:45 PM ET

Marlins @ Cardinals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
50-54 Rating 1472
Form: WWWWL
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: St. Louis Cardinals +0.5
Cardinals
54-53 Rating 1501
Form: LWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Cardinals
All-time wins 89 135
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.0 4.7
Last meeting 4 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Cardinals
Games played 104 107
Avg runs scored 4.3 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.7 4.5
Win percentage 48% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 51% 58%