Final Score: Orioles 7 - Padres 5
Wednesday, September 3, 2025 at 4:10 PM ET
Orioles @ Padres
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Orioles | Padres |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 15 | 14 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 5.3 | 5.4 |
| Last meeting | 6 | 2 |
| Stat | Orioles | Padres |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 139 | 139 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.4 | 4.2 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.9 | 3.9 |
| Win percentage | 45% | 55% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 45% | 64% |
Recent Results
Orioles
@ San Diego Padres
Sep 2, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
@ San Diego Padres
Sep 1, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ San Francisco Giants
Aug 31, 2025 · Margin: -11 · Total: 15
2-13
@ San Francisco Giants
Aug 30, 2025 · Margin: +10 · Total: 12
11-1
@ San Francisco Giants
Aug 29, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 23
8-15
vs Boston Red Sox
Aug 28, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Boston Red Sox
Aug 27, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Boston Red Sox
Aug 26, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 5
0-5
vs Boston Red Sox
Aug 25, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Houston Astros
Aug 24, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
Padres
vs Baltimore Orioles
Sep 2, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
vs Baltimore Orioles
Sep 1, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Minnesota Twins
Aug 31, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 9
2-7
@ Minnesota Twins
Aug 30, 2025 · Margin: +9 · Total: 15
12-3
@ Minnesota Twins
Aug 29, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 11
4-7
@ Seattle Mariners
Aug 27, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Seattle Mariners
Aug 26, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 13
7-6
@ Seattle Mariners
Aug 25, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 15
6-9
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Aug 24, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 10
2-8
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Aug 23, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1