Final Score: Dodgers 3 - Pirates 5
Thursday, September 4, 2025 at 6:40 PM ET

Dodgers @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Dodgers
78-61 Rating 1564
Form: LLWLL
Model Probability
57%
43%
Projected margin: Los Angeles Dodgers +0.7
Pirates
63-77 Rating 1473
Form: WWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Dodgers Pirates
All-time wins 308 224
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.6 3.9
Last meeting 0 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Dodgers Pirates
Games played 139 140
Avg runs scored 5.1 3.7
Avg runs conceded 4.4 4.1
Win percentage 56% 45%
Away win % / Home win % 49% 58%