Final Score: Pirates 2 - Orioles 3
Thursday, September 11, 2025 at 1:05 PM ET
Pirates @ Orioles
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Pirates | Orioles |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 20 | 25 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 4.3 | 4.5 |
| Last meeting | 1 | 2 |
| Stat | Pirates | Orioles |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 146 | 145 |
| Avg runs scored | 3.6 | 4.3 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.1 | 4.9 |
| Win percentage | 44% | 47% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 31% | 48% |
Recent Results
Pirates
@ Baltimore Orioles
Sep 10, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ Baltimore Orioles
Sep 9, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Sep 7, 2025 · Margin: -8 · Total: 12
2-10
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Sep 6, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Sep 5, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Sep 4, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Sep 3, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Sep 2, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 16
9-7
@ Boston Red Sox
Aug 31, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
@ Boston Red Sox
Aug 30, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 13
10-3
Orioles
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Sep 10, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Sep 9, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Sep 7, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Sep 6, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Sep 5, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ San Diego Padres
Sep 3, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 12
7-5
@ San Diego Padres
Sep 2, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
@ San Diego Padres
Sep 1, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ San Francisco Giants
Aug 31, 2025 · Margin: -11 · Total: 15
2-13
@ San Francisco Giants
Aug 30, 2025 · Margin: +10 · Total: 12
11-1