Final Score: Orioles 1 - Blue Jays 6
Friday, September 12, 2025 at 7:07 PM ET
Orioles @ Blue Jays
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Orioles | Blue Jays |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 344 | 398 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 4.5 | 4.7 |
| Last meeting | 8 | 9 |
| Stat | Orioles | Blue Jays |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 146 | 146 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.3 | 5.0 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.8 | 4.5 |
| Win percentage | 47% | 58% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 46% | 65% |
Recent Results
Orioles
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Sep 11, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Sep 10, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Sep 9, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Sep 7, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Sep 6, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Sep 5, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ San Diego Padres
Sep 3, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 12
7-5
@ San Diego Padres
Sep 2, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
@ San Diego Padres
Sep 1, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ San Francisco Giants
Aug 31, 2025 · Margin: -11 · Total: 15
2-13
Blue Jays
vs Houston Astros
Sep 11, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 6
6-0
vs Houston Astros
Sep 10, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Houston Astros
Sep 9, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ New York Yankees
Sep 7, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ New York Yankees
Sep 6, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
@ New York Yankees
Sep 5, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 8
7-1
@ Cincinnati Reds
Sep 3, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 22
13-9
@ Cincinnati Reds
Sep 2, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 21
12-9
@ Cincinnati Reds
Sep 1, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Aug 31, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 12
8-4