Final Score: Blue Jays 13 - Reds 9
Wednesday, September 3, 2025 at 6:40 PM ET

Blue Jays @ Reds

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Blue Jays
80-59 Rating 1531
Form: LLWLW
Model Probability
51%
49%
Projected margin: Toronto Blue Jays +0.2
Reds
70-69 Rating 1493
Form: LLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Blue Jays Reds
All-time wins 18 11
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 6.2 4.0
Last meeting 12 9

Key Season Stats

Stat Blue Jays Reds
Games played 139 139
Avg runs scored 5.0 4.5
Avg runs conceded 4.6 4.3
Win percentage 58% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 54%