Final Score: Blue Jays 12 - Reds 9
Tuesday, September 2, 2025 at 6:40 PM ET
Blue Jays @ Reds
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Blue Jays | Reds |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 17 | 11 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 6.0 | 3.9 |
| Last meeting | 4 | 5 |
| Stat | Blue Jays | Reds |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 138 | 138 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.9 | 4.5 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.5 | 4.2 |
| Win percentage | 57% | 51% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 49% | 55% |
Recent Results
Blue Jays
@ Cincinnati Reds
Sep 1, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Aug 31, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 12
8-4
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Aug 30, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Aug 29, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 9
2-7
vs Minnesota Twins
Aug 27, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 17
9-8
vs Minnesota Twins
Aug 26, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 12
5-7
vs Minnesota Twins
Aug 25, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 14
10-4
@ Miami Marlins
Aug 24, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
@ Miami Marlins
Aug 23, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 13
7-6
@ Miami Marlins
Aug 22, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
Reds
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Sep 1, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Aug 31, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 11
7-4
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Aug 30, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Aug 29, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 12
5-7
@ Los Angeles Dodgers
Aug 27, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
@ Los Angeles Dodgers
Aug 26, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
@ Los Angeles Dodgers
Aug 25, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 7
0-7
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
Aug 24, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
Aug 23, 2025 · Margin: -9 · Total: 11
1-10
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
Aug 22, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6