Final Score: Yankees 1 - Blue Jays 10
Saturday, October 4, 2025 at 4:08 PM ET
Yankees @ Blue Jays
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Yankees | Blue Jays |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 403 | 335 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 4.8 | 4.4 |
| Last meeting | 4 | 3 |
| Stat | Yankees | Blue Jays |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 165 | 162 |
| Avg runs scored | 5.2 | 4.9 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.2 | 4.5 |
| Win percentage | 58% | 58% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 54% | 67% |
Recent Results
Yankees
vs Boston Red Sox
Oct 2, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4
4-0
vs Boston Red Sox
Oct 1, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Boston Red Sox
Sep 30, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
vs Baltimore Orioles
Sep 28, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Baltimore Orioles
Sep 27, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
vs Baltimore Orioles
Sep 26, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 12
8-4
vs Chicago White Sox
Sep 25, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
vs Chicago White Sox
Sep 24, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 9
8-1
vs Chicago White Sox
Sep 23, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Baltimore Orioles
Sep 21, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 8
7-1
Blue Jays
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Sep 28, 2025 · Margin: +9 · Total: 17
13-4
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Sep 27, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Sep 26, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
vs Boston Red Sox
Sep 25, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
vs Boston Red Sox
Sep 24, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 8
1-7
vs Boston Red Sox
Sep 23, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
@ Kansas City Royals
Sep 21, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 13
8-5
@ Kansas City Royals
Sep 20, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ Kansas City Royals
Sep 19, 2025 · Margin: -19 · Total: 21
1-20
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Sep 18, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 4
0-4