Final Score: Rays 4 - Blue Jays 13
Sunday, September 28, 2025 at 3:07 PM ET
Rays @ Blue Jays
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Rays | Blue Jays |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 263 | 215 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 4.7 | 4.4 |
| Last meeting | 1 | 5 |
| Stat | Rays | Blue Jays |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 161 | 161 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.4 | 4.9 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.2 | 4.5 |
| Win percentage | 48% | 58% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 45% | 66% |
Recent Results
Rays
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Sep 27, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Sep 26, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
@ Baltimore Orioles
Sep 25, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
@ Baltimore Orioles
Sep 24, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
@ Baltimore Orioles
Sep 23, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 6
0-6
vs Boston Red Sox
Sep 21, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3
vs Boston Red Sox
Sep 20, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
vs Boston Red Sox
Sep 19, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 18
7-11
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Sep 18, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4
4-0
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Sep 17, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
Blue Jays
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Sep 27, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Sep 26, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
vs Boston Red Sox
Sep 25, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
vs Boston Red Sox
Sep 24, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 8
1-7
vs Boston Red Sox
Sep 23, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
@ Kansas City Royals
Sep 21, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 13
8-5
@ Kansas City Royals
Sep 20, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ Kansas City Royals
Sep 19, 2025 · Margin: -19 · Total: 21
1-20
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Sep 18, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 4
0-4
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Sep 17, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2