Final Score: Rays 5 - Orioles 6
Thursday, September 25, 2025 at 1:05 PM ET
Rays @ Orioles
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Rays | Orioles |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 246 | 231 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 4.7 | 4.5 |
| Last meeting | 6 | 2 |
| Stat | Rays | Orioles |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 158 | 158 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.4 | 4.2 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.1 | 4.8 |
| Win percentage | 49% | 47% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 47% | 48% |
Recent Results
Rays
@ Baltimore Orioles
Sep 24, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
@ Baltimore Orioles
Sep 23, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 6
0-6
vs Boston Red Sox
Sep 21, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3
vs Boston Red Sox
Sep 20, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
vs Boston Red Sox
Sep 19, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 18
7-11
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Sep 18, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4
4-0
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Sep 17, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Sep 16, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Sep 15, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ Chicago Cubs
Sep 14, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
Orioles
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Sep 24, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Sep 23, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 6
6-0
vs New York Yankees
Sep 21, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 8
1-7
vs New York Yankees
Sep 20, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
vs New York Yankees
Sep 19, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
vs New York Yankees
Sep 18, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 7
0-7
@ Chicago White Sox
Sep 17, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
@ Chicago White Sox
Sep 16, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 15
8-7
@ Chicago White Sox
Sep 15, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Sep 14, 2025 · Margin: -9 · Total: 13
2-11