Final Score: Red Sox 3 - Royals 1
Monday, May 18, 2026 at 7:10 PM ET

Red Sox @ Royals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
19-27 Rating 1508
Form: WLLWL
Model Probability
50%
50%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.1
Royals
20-27 Rating 1480
Form: LLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Royals
All-time wins 266 249
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.9 4.5
Last meeting 3 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Royals
Games played 46 47
Avg runs scored 3.6 4.0
Avg runs conceded 4.1 4.5
Win percentage 41% 43%
Away win % / Home win % 46% 57%