Final Score: Royals 4 - Cardinals 5
Friday, May 15, 2026 at 8:15 PM ET

Royals @ Cardinals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Royals
19-25 Rating 1482
Form: WLLLL
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: St. Louis Cardinals +0.5
Cardinals
25-18 Rating 1507
Form: LLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Royals Cardinals
All-time wins 59 82
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.4 5.1
Last meeting 7 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Royals Cardinals
Games played 44 43
Avg runs scored 4.1 4.6
Avg runs conceded 4.6 4.6
Win percentage 43% 58%
Away win % / Home win % 29% 50%