Final Score: Cardinals 2 - Padres 3
Sunday, May 10, 2026 at 4:10 PM ET
Cardinals @ Padres
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Cardinals | Padres |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 317 | 221 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 4.4 | 3.7 |
| Last meeting | 2 | 4 |
| Stat | Cardinals | Padres |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 39 | 39 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.7 | 4.3 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.6 | 4.2 |
| Win percentage | 59% | 59% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 68% | 55% |
Recent Results
Cardinals
@ San Diego Padres
May 9, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
@ San Diego Padres
May 8, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 6
6-0
@ San Diego Padres
May 7, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs Milwaukee Brewers
May 6, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
vs Milwaukee Brewers
May 4, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
May 3, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
May 2, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
May 1, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 9
7-2
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
Apr 30, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 15
10-5
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
Apr 29, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
Padres
vs St. Louis Cardinals
May 9, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
vs St. Louis Cardinals
May 8, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 6
0-6
vs St. Louis Cardinals
May 7, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ San Francisco Giants
May 6, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
@ San Francisco Giants
May 5, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 15
10-5
@ San Francisco Giants
May 4, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Chicago White Sox
May 3, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Chicago White Sox
May 2, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 4
0-4
vs Chicago White Sox
May 1, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 10
2-8
vs Chicago Cubs
Apr 29, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5