Final Score: White Sox 8 - Padres 2
Friday, May 1, 2026 at 9:40 PM ET

White Sox @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
White Sox
14-17 Rating 1408
Form: LLWWW
Model Probability
31%
69%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +1.6
Padres
19-11 Rating 1544
Form: WLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat White Sox Padres
All-time wins 10 14
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 3.1 3.5
Last meeting 2 3

Key Season Stats

Stat White Sox Padres
Games played 31 30
Avg runs scored 4.2 4.6
Avg runs conceded 4.9 4.4
Win percentage 45% 63%
Away win % / Home win % 44% 62%