Final Score: Cardinals 6 - Padres 0
Friday, May 8, 2026 at 9:45 PM ET

Cardinals @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cardinals
22-15 Rating 1506
Form: WLWLW
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.6
Padres
22-15 Rating 1539
Form: WLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cardinals Padres
All-time wins 316 220
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.4 3.7
Last meeting 2 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Cardinals Padres
Games played 37 37
Avg runs scored 4.8 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.8 4.2
Win percentage 59% 59%
Away win % / Home win % 71% 55%