Final Score: Padres 4 - Brewers 6
Tuesday, May 12, 2026 at 7:40 PM ET

Padres @ Brewers

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Padres
24-16 Rating 1540
Form: WLLWW
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: Milwaukee Brewers +0.4
Brewers
22-16 Rating 1552
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Padres Brewers
All-time wins 95 91
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.5 4.2
Last meeting 1 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Padres Brewers
Games played 40 38
Avg runs scored 4.2 5.1
Avg runs conceded 4.2 3.7
Win percentage 60% 58%
Away win % / Home win % 65% 62%