Final Score: Twins 8 - Red Sox 6
Friday, May 22, 2026 at 7:10 PM ET

Twins @ Red Sox

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Twins
23-27 Rating 1464
Form: LWWLW
Model Probability
40%
60%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.8
Red Sox
22-27 Rating 1514
Form: WLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Twins Red Sox
All-time wins 243 279
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.5 4.9
Last meeting 5 9

Key Season Stats

Stat Twins Red Sox
Games played 50 49
Avg runs scored 4.6 3.7
Avg runs conceded 4.6 3.9
Win percentage 46% 45%
Away win % / Home win % 38% 36%