Final Score: Blue Jays 7 - Braves 2
Thursday, June 4, 2026 at 7:15 PM ET

Blue Jays @ Braves

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Blue Jays
29-33 Rating 1521
Form: WLLLL
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Atlanta Braves +0.5
Braves
42-20 Rating 1546
Form: WWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Blue Jays Braves
All-time wins 41 37
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.6 4.5
Last meeting 3 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Blue Jays Braves
Games played 62 62
Avg runs scored 4.0 5.3
Avg runs conceded 4.2 3.4
Win percentage 47% 68%
Away win % / Home win % 38% 66%