Final Score: Orioles 3 - Blue Jays 7
Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 3:07 PM ET
Orioles @ Blue Jays
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Orioles | Blue Jays |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 348 | 405 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 4.5 | 4.7 |
| Last meeting | 7 | 4 |
| Stat | Orioles | Blue Jays |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 148 | 148 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.5 | 4.0 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.7 | 4.3 |
| Win percentage | 49% | 49% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 49% | 51% |
Recent Results
Orioles
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Sep 11, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 11
7-4
vs Cleveland Guardians
Sep 9, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 14
9-5
vs Cleveland Guardians
Sep 8, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 14
5-9
vs Cleveland Guardians
Sep 7, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
vs Boston Red Sox
Sep 6, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
vs Boston Red Sox
Sep 5, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 5
0-5
vs Boston Red Sox
Sep 4, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0-1
vs Boston Red Sox
Sep 3, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
@ Colorado Rockies
Sep 2, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
@ Colorado Rockies
Sep 1, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
Blue Jays
vs Baltimore Orioles
Sep 11, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 11
4-7
@ Athletics
Sep 9, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0-2
@ Athletics
Sep 8, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
@ Athletics
Sep 7, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
@ Kansas City Royals
Sep 6, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
@ Kansas City Royals
Sep 5, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Kansas City Royals
Sep 4, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 11
9-2
@ Cleveland Guardians
Sep 3, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
@ Cleveland Guardians
Sep 2, 2026 · Margin: +11 · Total: 11
11-0
@ Cleveland Guardians
Sep 1, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6