Reds @ Braves

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Reds 7 - Braves 6
Thursday, September 24, 2026 at 7:15 PM ET
Cincinnati
Reds
73-85 Rating 1483
Form: WLLWL
7 – 6
Model Probability
39%
61%
Projected margin: Atlanta Braves +0.9
Atlanta
Braves
93-65 Rating 1542
Form: WWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Reds Braves
All-time wins 353 328
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.5 4.5
Last meeting 2 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Reds Braves
Games played 158 158
Avg runs scored 4.1 4.6
Avg runs conceded 5.1 3.8
Win percentage 46% 59%
Away win % / Home win % 45% 65%