Final Score: Braves 6 - Astros 3
Saturday, September 19, 2026 at 7:10 PM ET
Braves @ Astros
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Braves | Astros |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 324 | 295 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 4.2 | 4.1 |
| Last meeting | 6 | 2 |
| Stat | Braves | Astros |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 154 | 154 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.6 | 4.4 |
| Avg runs conceded | 3.9 | 4.8 |
| Win percentage | 58% | 50% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 51% | 49% |
Recent Results
Braves
@ Houston Astros
Sep 18, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
@ Chicago Cubs
Sep 16, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 12
4-8
@ Chicago Cubs
Sep 15, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
@ Chicago Cubs
Sep 14, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 10
3-7
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Sep 13, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 13
4-9
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Sep 12, 2026 · Margin: +10 · Total: 14
12-2
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Sep 11, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Sep 10, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Sep 9, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 9
2-7
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Sep 8, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 8
1-7
Astros
vs Atlanta Braves
Sep 18, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
vs Kansas City Royals
Sep 17, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
vs Kansas City Royals
Sep 16, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
vs Kansas City Royals
Sep 15, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Sep 13, 2026 · Margin: -10 · Total: 18
4-14
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Sep 12, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Sep 11, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Sep 10, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Sep 9, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 18
7-11
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Sep 8, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5