Final Score: Blue Jays 0 - Orioles 0
Monday, September 21, 2026 at 6:35 PM ET
Blue Jays @ Orioles
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
Blue Jays
| Scenario | Playoffs | Division | Pennant | Title |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 3% | <1% | 1% | 1% |
| If Win | 5% | <1% | 1% | 1% |
| If Lose | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Orioles
| Scenario | Playoffs | Division | Pennant | Title |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| If Win | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| If Lose | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Stat | Blue Jays | Orioles |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 407 | 348 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average runs | 4.7 | 4.5 |
| Last meeting | 8 | 1 |
| Stat | Blue Jays | Orioles |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 156 | 156 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.0 | 4.4 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.3 | 4.6 |
| Win percentage | 49% | 48% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 47% | 46% |
Recent Results
Blue Jays
@ Texas Rangers
Sep 20, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 9
7-2
@ Texas Rangers
Sep 19, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
@ Texas Rangers
Sep 18, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 8
1-7
vs Detroit Tigers
Sep 16, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
vs Detroit Tigers
Sep 15, 2026 · Margin: -9 · Total: 11
1-10
vs Detroit Tigers
Sep 14, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
vs Baltimore Orioles
Sep 13, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 9
8-1
vs Baltimore Orioles
Sep 12, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3
vs Baltimore Orioles
Sep 11, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 11
4-7
@ Athletics
Sep 9, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0-2
Orioles
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Sep 20, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 3
0-3
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Sep 19, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0-1
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Sep 18, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
@ New York Mets
Sep 16, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 8
7-1
@ New York Mets
Sep 15, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 12
7-5
@ New York Mets
Sep 14, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Sep 13, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 9
1-8
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Sep 12, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 10
3-7
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Sep 11, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 11
7-4
vs Cleveland Guardians
Sep 9, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 14
9-5