Final Score: Cubs 4 - Pirates 1
Tuesday, September 16, 2025 at 6:40 PM ET
Cubs @ Pirates
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Cubs | Pirates |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 457 | 479 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average runs | 4.5 | 4.5 |
| Last meeting | 4 | 0 |
| Stat | Cubs | Pirates |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 150 | 151 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.9 | 3.6 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.0 | 4.1 |
| Win percentage | 57% | 43% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 53% | 55% |
Recent Results
Cubs
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
Sep 15, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4
4-0
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Sep 14, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Sep 13, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Sep 12, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
@ Atlanta Braves
Sep 10, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Atlanta Braves
Sep 9, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
@ Atlanta Braves
Sep 8, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
vs Washington Nationals
Sep 7, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
vs Washington Nationals
Sep 6, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
vs Washington Nationals
Sep 5, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 16
11-5
Pirates
vs Chicago Cubs
Sep 15, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 4
0-4
@ Washington Nationals
Sep 14, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Washington Nationals
Sep 13, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
@ Washington Nationals
Sep 12, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
@ Baltimore Orioles
Sep 11, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Baltimore Orioles
Sep 10, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ Baltimore Orioles
Sep 9, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Sep 7, 2025 · Margin: -8 · Total: 12
2-10
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Sep 6, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Sep 5, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5