Final Score: Cubs 0 - Reds 1
Sunday, September 21, 2025 at 1:40 PM ET

Cubs @ Reds

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cubs
88-67 Rating 1528
Form: WWLLL
Model Probability
50%
50%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.1
Reds
79-76 Rating 1499
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cubs Reds
All-time wins 382 413
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.7 4.6
Last meeting 3 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Cubs Reds
Games played 155 155
Avg runs scored 4.8 4.5
Avg runs conceded 4.0 4.3
Win percentage 57% 51%
Away win % / Home win % 52% 56%