Final Score: Pirates 4 - Reds 2
Tuesday, September 23, 2025 at 6:40 PM ET
Pirates @ Reds
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Pirates | Reds |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 387 | 432 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 4.2 | 4.5 |
| Last meeting | 8 | 14 |
| Stat | Pirates | Reds |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 156 | 156 |
| Avg runs scored | 3.6 | 4.5 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.0 | 4.2 |
| Win percentage | 43% | 51% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 31% | 56% |
Recent Results
Pirates
vs Athletics
Sep 21, 2025 · Margin: +11 · Total: 11
11-0
vs Athletics
Sep 20, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
vs Athletics
Sep 19, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Chicago Cubs
Sep 17, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 12
4-8
vs Chicago Cubs
Sep 16, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
vs Chicago Cubs
Sep 15, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 4
0-4
@ Washington Nationals
Sep 14, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Washington Nationals
Sep 13, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
@ Washington Nationals
Sep 12, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
@ Baltimore Orioles
Sep 11, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
Reds
vs Chicago Cubs
Sep 21, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1-0
vs Chicago Cubs
Sep 20, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
vs Chicago Cubs
Sep 19, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 11
7-4
vs Chicago Cubs
Sep 18, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1-0
@ St. Louis Cardinals
Sep 17, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
@ St. Louis Cardinals
Sep 16, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 3
0-3
@ St. Louis Cardinals
Sep 15, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 17
11-6
@ Athletics
Sep 14, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 11
4-7
@ Athletics
Sep 13, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 16
5-11
@ Athletics
Sep 12, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 3
0-3