Final Score: Pirates 6 - Cardinals 9
Tuesday, May 19, 2026 at 7:45 PM ET

Pirates @ Cardinals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
24-23 Rating 1475
Form: LWLLL
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: St. Louis Cardinals +0.6
Cardinals
27-19 Rating 1508
Form: LWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Cardinals
All-time wins 435 510
Last 5 meetings 0 5
Average runs 4.2 4.5
Last meeting 5 10

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Cardinals
Games played 47 46
Avg runs scored 4.9 4.5
Avg runs conceded 4.5 4.5
Win percentage 51% 59%
Away win % / Home win % 52% 52%