Final Score: Padres 7 - Giants 5
Friday, September 11, 2026 at 10:15 PM ET
Padres @ Giants
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Padres | Giants |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 467 | 501 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average runs | 4.1 | 4.3 |
| Last meeting | 5 | 4 |
| Stat | Padres | Giants |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 146 | 147 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.2 | 4.2 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.1 | 4.7 |
| Win percentage | 53% | 42% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 45% | 50% |
Recent Results
Padres
vs Washington Nationals
Sep 9, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 11
9-2
vs Washington Nationals
Sep 8, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
vs Washington Nationals
Sep 7, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs New York Yankees
Sep 6, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs New York Yankees
Sep 5, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
vs New York Yankees
Sep 4, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Cincinnati Reds
Sep 2, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 10
3-7
@ Cincinnati Reds
Sep 1, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Cincinnati Reds
Aug 31, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 5
5-0
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Aug 30, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
Giants
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Sep 9, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 13
7-6
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Sep 8, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Sep 7, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
@ New York Mets
Sep 6, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
@ New York Mets
Sep 5, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 14
9-5
@ New York Mets
Sep 4, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 16
6-10
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
Sep 3, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
Sep 2, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
Sep 1, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 25
12-13
@ Atlanta Braves
Aug 31, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3