Braves @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Braves 3 - Marlins 5
Sunday, September 27, 2026 at 3:10 PM ET
Atlanta
Braves
94-67 Rating 1540
Form: LWLLW
3 – 5
Model Probability
52%
48%
Projected margin: Atlanta Braves +0.3
Miami
Marlins
79-82 Rating 1489
Form: WWLWL
Marlins

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Braves Marlins
All-time wins 339 221
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.8 3.9
Last meeting 8 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Braves Marlins
Games played 161 161
Avg runs scored 4.6 4.4
Avg runs conceded 3.9 4.4
Win percentage 58% 49%
Away win % / Home win % 52% 57%