Final Score: Pirates 7 - Guardians 1
Saturday, July 18, 2026 at 1:10 PM ET
Pirates @ Guardians
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Pirates | Guardians |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 26 | 31 |
| Last 5 meetings | 1 | 4 |
| Average runs | 4.4 | 4.7 |
| Last meeting | 4 | 5 |
| Stat | Pirates | Guardians |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 97 | 97 |
| Avg runs scored | 5.3 | 4.0 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.9 | 4.0 |
| Win percentage | 52% | 53% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 50% | 52% |
Recent Results
Pirates
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Jul 12, 2026 · Margin: +9 · Total: 19
14-5
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Jul 11, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Jul 11, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 13
7-6
vs Atlanta Braves
Jul 9, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 15
5-10
vs Atlanta Braves
Jul 8, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 3
0-3
vs Atlanta Braves
Jul 7, 2026 · Margin: +8 · Total: 16
12-4
@ Washington Nationals
Jul 5, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 16
11-5
@ Washington Nationals
Jul 4, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 8
7-1
@ Washington Nationals
Jul 3, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 14
5-9
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Jul 2, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
Guardians
@ Miami Marlins
Jul 12, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
@ Miami Marlins
Jul 11, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ Miami Marlins
Jul 10, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Minnesota Twins
Jul 9, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
@ Minnesota Twins
Jul 8, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
@ Minnesota Twins
Jul 7, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
vs Chicago White Sox
Jul 5, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 13
6-7
vs Chicago White Sox
Jul 4, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
vs Chicago White Sox
Jul 3, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Chicago White Sox
Jul 2, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5