Final Score: Rays 0 - Red Sox 10
Friday, July 17, 2026 at 1:35 PM ET

Rays @ Red Sox

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Rays
56-38 Rating 1524
Form: WLWWL
Model Probability
47%
53%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.2
Red Sox
46-48 Rating 1519
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Rays Red Sox
All-time wins 233 267
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.4 4.8
Last meeting 7 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Rays Red Sox
Games played 94 94
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.1
Avg runs conceded 4.2 3.8
Win percentage 60% 49%
Away win % / Home win % 48% 39%