Final Score: Rays 3 - Red Sox 5
Friday, July 17, 2026 at 7:10 PM ET
Rays @ Red Sox
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Rays | Red Sox |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 233 | 268 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average runs | 4.3 | 4.8 |
| Last meeting | 0 | 10 |
| Stat | Rays | Red Sox |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 95 | 95 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.5 | 4.2 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.2 | 3.8 |
| Win percentage | 59% | 49% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 47% | 40% |
Recent Results
Rays
@ Boston Red Sox
Jul 17, 2026 · Margin: -10 · Total: 10
0-10
vs Seattle Mariners
Jul 12, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 10
2-8
vs Seattle Mariners
Jul 11, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
vs Seattle Mariners
Jul 10, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 9
7-2
vs New York Yankees
Jul 9, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 16
4-12
vs New York Yankees
Jul 8, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0
vs New York Yankees
Jul 7, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
vs New York Yankees
Jul 6, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
@ Houston Astros
Jul 5, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0-2
@ Houston Astros
Jul 4, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 18
8-10
Red Sox
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 17, 2026 · Margin: +10 · Total: 10
10-0
@ New York Mets
Jul 12, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ New York Mets
Jul 11, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4
4-0
@ New York Mets
Jul 10, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
@ Chicago White Sox
Jul 9, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ Chicago White Sox
Jul 8, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 5
5-0
@ Chicago White Sox
Jul 7, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 9
8-1
@ Los Angeles Angels
Jul 5, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 12
7-5
@ Los Angeles Angels
Jul 4, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 9
8-1
@ Los Angeles Angels
Jul 3, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2