| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 2026 | 0–3 | Dodgers +3 | Dodgers +1.0 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2026 | 3–4 | Diamondbacks +1 | Brewers +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2026 | 7–2 | Marlins +5 | Marlins +0.1 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2026 | 8–1 | Red Sox +7 | Red Sox +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2026 | 6–4 | Giants +2 | Giants +0.5 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2026 | 6–1 | Phillies +5 | Phillies +0.7 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2026 | 3–14 | Braves +11 | Braves +0.8 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2026 | 3–0 | Cardinals +3 | Cubs +0.5 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2026 | 8–5 | Orioles +3 | Reds +0.2 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2026 | 3–1 | White Sox +2 | Guardians +1.1 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2026 | 8–10 | Astros +2 | Astros +0.1 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2026 | 0–11 | Mariners +11 | Mariners +0.3 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2026 | 3–0 | Tigers +3 | Rangers +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2026 | 11–4 | Twins +7 | Yankees +1.1 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2026 | 7–1 | Pirates +6 | Nationals +0.2 | Regular Season |