| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 5, 2026 | 7–5 | Red Sox +2 | Red Sox +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 5, 2026 | 5–2 | Padres +3 | Dodgers +1.0 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 5, 2026 | 0–4 | Mariners +4 | Mariners +0.3 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 5, 2026 | 9–8 | Marlins +1 | Marlins +0.1 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 5, 2026 | 3–2 | Brewers +1 | Brewers +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 5, 2026 | 6–7 | Rockies +1 | Giants +0.6 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 5, 2026 | 6–3 | Tigers +3 | Rangers +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 5, 2026 | 0–2 | Astros +2 | Astros +0.1 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 5, 2026 | 2–5 | Royals +3 | Phillies +0.7 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 5, 2026 | 4–6 | Cubs +2 | Cubs +0.5 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 5, 2026 | 7–6 | White Sox +1 | Guardians +1.0 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 5, 2026 | 6–1 | Twins +5 | Yankees +1.0 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 5, 2026 | 2–3 | Reds +1 | Reds +0.1 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 5, 2026 | 11–5 | Pirates +6 | Nationals +0.1 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 5, 2026 | 10–9 | Mets +1 | Braves +0.8 | Regular Season |