Final Score: Pirates 3 - Guardians 5
Saturday, July 18, 2026 at 7:10 PM ET

Pirates @ Guardians

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
51-47 Rating 1489
Form: LWWWW
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Cleveland Guardians +0.5
Guardians
51-47 Rating 1520
Form: WWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Guardians
All-time wins 27 31
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.4 4.7
Last meeting 7 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Guardians
Games played 98 98
Avg runs scored 5.3 3.9
Avg runs conceded 4.8 4.0
Win percentage 52% 52%
Away win % / Home win % 51% 51%