Cubs @ Red Sox

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Cubs 0 - Red Sox 2
Friday, September 25, 2026 at 5:35 PM ET
Chicago
Cubs
88-72 Rating 1533
Form: WLLWL
0 – 2
Model Probability
46%
54%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.3
Boston
Red Sox
86-74 Rating 1534
Form: LLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cubs Red Sox
All-time wins 14 14
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.8 5.2
Last meeting 3 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Cubs Red Sox
Games played 160 160
Avg runs scored 5.3 4.3
Avg runs conceded 4.4 3.8
Win percentage 55% 54%
Away win % / Home win % 53% 51%