Final Score: Cubs 3 - Red Sox 4
Friday, September 25, 2026 at 1:05 PM ET
Cubs @ Red Sox
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Cubs | Red Sox |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 14 | 13 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 4.9 | 5.3 |
| Last meeting | 1 | 6 |
| Stat | Cubs | Red Sox |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 159 | 159 |
| Avg runs scored | 5.3 | 4.3 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.4 | 3.8 |
| Win percentage | 55% | 53% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 54% | 50% |
Recent Results
Cubs
vs Miami Marlins
Sep 24, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs Miami Marlins
Sep 23, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Miami Marlins
Sep 22, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 10
2-8
@ Cincinnati Reds
Sep 20, 2026 · Margin: +8 · Total: 10
9-1
@ Cincinnati Reds
Sep 19, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
@ Cincinnati Reds
Sep 18, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 10
4-6
vs Atlanta Braves
Sep 16, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 12
8-4
vs Atlanta Braves
Sep 15, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
vs Atlanta Braves
Sep 14, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Sep 13, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
Red Sox
vs Cleveland Guardians
Sep 24, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0-1
vs Cleveland Guardians
Sep 23, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1-0
vs Cleveland Guardians
Sep 22, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Sep 20, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Sep 19, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Sep 18, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
@ Texas Rangers
Sep 17, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Texas Rangers
Sep 16, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 10
3-7
@ Texas Rangers
Sep 15, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
vs Kansas City Royals
Sep 13, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1