Final Score: Orioles 3 - Red Sox 6
Wednesday, July 22, 2026 at 1:35 PM ET
Orioles @ Red Sox
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Orioles | Red Sox |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 396 | 490 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 4.4 | 5.0 |
| Last meeting | 5 | 6 |
| Stat | Orioles | Red Sox |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 101 | 99 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.6 | 4.2 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.7 | 3.8 |
| Win percentage | 49% | 52% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 44% | 45% |
Recent Results
Orioles
@ Boston Red Sox
Jul 20, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
@ Houston Astros
Jul 19, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
@ Houston Astros
Jul 18, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
@ Houston Astros
Jul 17, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Kansas City Royals
Jul 12, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 10
8-2
vs Kansas City Royals
Jul 11, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
vs Kansas City Royals
Jul 10, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
vs Chicago Cubs
Jul 9, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Chicago Cubs
Jul 8, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 16
7-9
vs Chicago Cubs
Jul 7, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
Red Sox
vs Baltimore Orioles
Jul 20, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 19, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 18, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 13
7-6
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 17, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 17, 2026 · Margin: +10 · Total: 10
10-0
@ New York Mets
Jul 12, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ New York Mets
Jul 11, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4
4-0
@ New York Mets
Jul 10, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
@ Chicago White Sox
Jul 9, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ Chicago White Sox
Jul 8, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 5
5-0