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UEFA Nations League · League A · Group 1 · Round 6
Sun, Nov 15, 2026 ยท 7:45 PM GMT

France vs Turkey Prediction & Win Probability

France has a 76% chance to win, with a 16% chance of a draw.

Rating 2020 · World #3
Form: WDWWL
VS
Rating 1754 · World #27
Form: LLLLW
Model Probability
76%
8%
Draw 16%

Group Impact

Chance of finishing in each Group 1 position, depending on this result

๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท France

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand90%10%<1%<1%
France win 94%6%<1%<1%
Draw 81%19%<1%<1%
Turkey win 68%27%4%<1%

๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ท Turkey

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand<1%<1%<1%100%
France win <1%<1%<1%100%
Draw <1%<1%<1%100%
Turkey win <1%<1%3%97%

League A ยท Group 1

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
1 France 4 10 2020 90% 10% <1% <1%
2 Italy 4 7 1877 9% 37% 55% <1%
3 Belgium 4 6 1894 2% 54% 45% <1%
4 Turkey 4 0 1754 <1% <1% <1% 100%
Quarter-finals (1st, 2nd) Relegation play-off (3rd) Relegated to League B (4th)

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 10 internationals in any competition
FranceStatTurkey
7-1-2Won-Drawn-Lost3-1-6
2.1Avg goals scored0.9
1.1Avg goals conceded1.8
2020Rating1754
#3World rank#27

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
FranceStatTurkey
1Wins (3 meetings, 1 draw)1
1Last 3 meetings (1 draw)1
0.67Average goals1.0
Last meeting (Fri, Sep 25, 2026, Nations League): Turkey 0–1 France