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UEFA Nations League · League A · Group 1 · Round 3
Fri, Oct 2, 2026 ยท 7:45 PM BST

Belgium vs Turkey Prediction & Win Probability

Belgium has a 56% chance to win, with a 26% chance of a draw.

Rating 1890 · World #10
Form: LWDWD
VS
Rating 1780 · World #24
Form: WLLWW
Model Probability
56%
18%
Draw 26%

Group Impact

Chance of finishing in each Group 1 position, depending on this result

๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ช Belgium

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand18%34%30%18%
Belgium win 24%41%28%7%
Draw 12%31%33%24%
Turkey win 9%21%30%41%

๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ท Turkey

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand4%13%26%57%
Belgium win 2%7%22%69%
Draw 4%15%30%51%
Turkey win 10%28%35%27%

League A ยท Group 1

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
France 0 0 2009 65% 22% 10% 3%
Belgium 0 0 1890 18% 34% 30% 18%
Italy 0 0 1866 13% 30% 34% 23%
Turkey 0 0 1780 4% 13% 26% 57%
Quarter-finals (1st, 2nd) Relegation play-off (3rd) Relegated to League B (4th)

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 10 internationals in any competition
BelgiumStatTurkey
4-5-1Won-Drawn-Lost6-1-3
2.5Avg goals scored1.9
1.0Avg goals conceded1.5
1890Rating1780
#10World rank#24

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
BelgiumStatTurkey
0Wins (2 meetings, 1 draw)1
0Last 2 meetings (1 draw)1
1.5Average goals2.0
Last meeting (Fri, Jun 3, 2011, Euro): Belgium 1–1 Turkey

Recent Results

๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ช Belgium

@ Spain
Fri, Jul 10, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 18%
1–2
@ USA
Tue, Jul 7, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 41%
4–1
vs Senegal
Wed, Jul 1, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 47%
2–2
@ New Zealand
Sat, Jun 27, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 70%
5–1
vs Iran
Sun, Jun 21, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 48%
0–0

๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ท Turkey

vs USA
Fri, Jun 26, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 26%
3–2
vs Paraguay
Sat, Jun 20, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 44%
0–1
@ Australia
Sun, Jun 14, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 40%
0–2
@ Kosovo
Tue, Mar 31, 2026 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 54%
1–0
vs Romania
Thu, Mar 26, 2026 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 55%
1–0