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Final Score: France 4–1 Belgium

UEFA Nations League · League A · Group 1 · Round 4

Mon, Oct 5, 2026 · 7:45 PM BST

France vs Belgium Prediction & Win Probability

Before kickoff, France had a 56% chance to win, with a 26% chance of a draw.

Rating 2020 · World #3

Form: DWWLL

VS

Rating 1894 · World #10

Form: WLWLW

Pre-match probability

56%

18%

Draw 26%

#	Team	P	Pts	Rating	1st	2nd	3rd	4th
1	France	4	10	2020	90%	10%	<1%	<1%
2	Italy	4	7	1877	9%	37%	55%	<1%
3	Belgium	4	6	1894	2%	54%	45%	<1%
4	Turkey	4	0	1754	<1%	<1%	<1%	100%

Quarter-finals (1st, 2nd) Relegation play-off (3rd) Relegated to League B (4th)

France	Stat	Belgium
6-1-2	Won-Drawn-Lost	4-3-2
1.89	Avg goals scored	2.0
1.11	Avg goals conceded	0.89
2020	Rating	1894
#3	World rank	#10

France	Stat	Belgium
7	Wins (10 meetings, 2 draws)	1
5	Last 5 meetings (0 draws)	0
1.7	Average goals	0.8

Last meeting (Mon, Oct 5, 2026, Nations League): France 4–1 Belgium

Recent Results

🇫🇷 France

Fri, Oct 2, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 61%

Mon, Sep 28, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 45%

Fri, Sep 25, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 61%

vs England

Sat, Jul 18, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 43%

4–6

vs Spain

Tue, Jul 14, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 33%

0–2

🇧🇪 Belgium

Fri, Oct 2, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 58%

Mon, Sep 28, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 26%

Fri, Sep 25, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 33%

@ Spain

Fri, Jul 10, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 18%

1–2

@ USA

Tue, Jul 7, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 41%

4–1