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Final Score: France 1–1 Italy

UEFA Nations League · League A · Group 1 · Round 3

Fri, Oct 2, 2026 · 7:45 PM BST

France vs Italy Prediction & Win Probability

Before kickoff, France had a 61% chance to win, with a 24% chance of a draw.

Rating 2020 · World #3

Form: WWLLW

VS

Rating 1877 · World #12

Form: WLDWL

Pre-match probability

61%

15%

Draw 24%

#	Team	P	Pts	Rating	1st	2nd	3rd	4th
1	France	4	10	2020	90%	10%	<1%	<1%
2	Italy	4	7	1877	9%	37%	55%	<1%
3	Belgium	4	6	1894	2%	54%	45%	<1%
4	Turkey	4	0	1754	<1%	<1%	<1%	100%

Quarter-finals (1st, 2nd) Relegation play-off (3rd) Relegated to League B (4th)

France	Stat	Italy
6-0-2	Won-Drawn-Lost	5-1-2
2.0	Avg goals scored	2.0
1.12	Avg goals conceded	1.12
2020	Rating	1877
#3	World rank	#12

France	Stat	Italy
4	Wins (6 meetings, 1 draw)	1
3	Last 5 meetings (1 draw)	1
2.17	Average goals	1.33

Last meeting (Fri, Oct 2, 2026, Nations League): France 1–1 Italy

Recent Results

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Mon, Sep 28, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 45%

Fri, Sep 25, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 61%

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