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UEFA Nations League · League A · Group 1 · Round 5
Thu, Nov 12, 2026 ยท 5:00 PM GMT

Turkey vs Belgium Prediction & Win Probability

Belgium has a 49% chance to win, with a 28% chance of a draw.

Rating 1754 · World #27
Form: LLLLW
VS
Rating 1894 · World #10
Form: LWLWL
Model Probability
23%
49%
Draw 28%

Group Impact

Chance of finishing in each Group 1 position, depending on this result

๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ท Turkey

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand<1%<1%<1%100%
Turkey win <1%<1%1%99%
Draw <1%<1%<1%100%
Belgium win <1%<1%<1%100%

๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ช Belgium

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand2%54%45%<1%
Turkey win <1%32%67%1%
Draw <1%57%43%<1%
Belgium win 3%61%35%<1%

League A ยท Group 1

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
1 France 4 10 2020 90% 10% <1% <1%
2 Italy 4 7 1877 9% 37% 55% <1%
3 Belgium 4 6 1894 2% 54% 45% <1%
4 Turkey 4 0 1754 <1% <1% <1% 100%
Quarter-finals (1st, 2nd) Relegation play-off (3rd) Relegated to League B (4th)

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 10 internationals in any competition
TurkeyStatBelgium
3-1-6Won-Drawn-Lost4-3-3
0.9Avg goals scored1.9
1.8Avg goals conceded1.2
1754Rating1894
#27World rank#10

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
TurkeyStatBelgium
1Wins (3 meetings, 1 draw)1
1Last 3 meetings (1 draw)1
1.33Average goals2.0
Last meeting (Fri, Oct 2, 2026, Nations League): Belgium 3–0 Turkey