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UEFA Nations League · League A · Group 1 · Round 5
Thu, Nov 12, 2026 ยท 5:00 PM GMT

Turkey vs Belgium Prediction & Win Probability

Belgium has a 44% chance to win, with a 30% chance of a draw.

Rating 1780 · World #24
Form: WLLWW
VS
Rating 1890 · World #10
Form: LWDWD
Model Probability
26%
44%
Draw 30%

Group Impact

Chance of finishing in each Group 1 position, depending on this result

๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ท Turkey

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand4%13%26%57%
Turkey win 9%27%34%31%
Draw 3%13%28%56%
Belgium win 2%6%21%72%

๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ช Belgium

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand18%34%30%18%
Turkey win 9%22%31%38%
Draw 14%34%33%19%
Belgium win 26%42%27%5%

League A ยท Group 1

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
– France 0 0 2009 65% 22% 10% 3%
– Belgium 0 0 1890 18% 34% 30% 18%
– Italy 0 0 1866 13% 30% 34% 23%
– Turkey 0 0 1780 4% 13% 26% 57%
Quarter-finals (1st, 2nd) Relegation play-off (3rd) Relegated to League B (4th)

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 10 internationals in any competition
TurkeyStatBelgium
6-1-3Won-Drawn-Lost4-5-1
1.9Avg goals scored2.5
1.5Avg goals conceded1.0
1780Rating1890
#24World rank#10

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
TurkeyStatBelgium
1Wins (2 meetings, 1 draw)0
1Last 2 meetings (1 draw)0
2.0Average goals1.5
Last meeting (Fri, Jun 3, 2011, Euro): Belgium 1–1 Turkey

Recent Results

๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ท Turkey

vs USA
Fri, Jun 26, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 26%
3–2
vs Paraguay
Sat, Jun 20, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 44%
0–1
@ Australia
Sun, Jun 14, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 40%
0–2
@ Kosovo
Tue, Mar 31, 2026 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 54%
1–0
vs Romania
Thu, Mar 26, 2026 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 55%
1–0

๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ช Belgium

@ Spain
Fri, Jul 10, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 18%
1–2
@ USA
Tue, Jul 7, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 41%
4–1
vs Senegal
Wed, Jul 1, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 47%
2–2
@ New Zealand
Sat, Jun 27, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 70%
5–1
vs Iran
Sun, Jun 21, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 48%
0–0