Mainz vs Dortmund Prediction & Win Probability
Dortmund has a 53% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Fri, May 7, 2027 · 2:30 PM BST
Model Prediction Through Season
Dortmund
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation | Relegation playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 11.8% | 92.3% | 4.1% | <1% | <1% |
| If Win | 14.3% | 94.7% | 2.8% | <1% | <1% |
| If Draw | 10.5% | 91.2% | 4.6% | <1% | <1% |
| If Lose | 8.8% | 88.4% | 5.3% | <1% | <1% |
Mainz
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation | Relegation playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 11.3% | 2.1% |
| If Win | <1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 6.7% | <1% |
| If Draw | <1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 10.4% | 1.8% |
| If Lose | <1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 13.7% | 2.5% |
| Mainz | Stat | Dortmund |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Games played | 8 |
| 2.1 | Avg goals scored | 1.8 |
| 2.1 | Avg goals conceded | 0.8 |
| 38% / 12% / 50% | Win / Draw / Loss | 62% / 38% / 0% |
| 0% | Home win % / Away win % | 50% |
| Mainz | Stat | Dortmund |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | All-time wins (33 meetings, 5 draws) | 22 |
| 2 | Last 5 meetings (0 draws) | 3 |
| 1.0 | Average goals | 1.9 |
Recent Results
Mainz
@ Elversberg
Fri, Oct 30, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1–4
vs Werder Bremen
Sat, Oct 24, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2–3
@ Schalke
Sat, Oct 17, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1–0
vs Bayer Leverkusen
Sat, Oct 10, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3–4
@ B. Monchengladbach
Sat, Sep 19, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4–3
Dortmund
@ Bayern Munich
Sat, Oct 31, 2026 · Margin: 0 · Total: 4
2–2
vs Eintracht Frankfurt
Sat, Oct 24, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1–0
@ Union Berlin
Sat, Oct 17, 2026 · Margin: 0 · Total: 0
0–0
vs Werder Bremen
Fri, Oct 9, 2026 · Margin: 0 · Total: 4
2–2
@ Stuttgart
Sat, Sep 19, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1–0