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Bundesliga
Fri, Oct 9, 2026 · 7:30 PM BST

Dortmund vs Werder Bremen Prediction & Win Probability

Dortmund has a 71% chance to win.

4-0-0 · Rating 1916
Form: WWWWW
VS
2-1-1 · Rating 1717
Form: WDWLL
Model Probability
71%
11%
Draw 17%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Werder Bremen

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%4.6%4.8%10.1%2.2%
If Win <1%10.1%7.7%5.0%<1%
If Draw <1%6.2%4.9%7.3%2.1%
If Lose <1%3.3%3.9%11.2%3.5%

Dortmund

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 15.6%91.4%4.1%<1%<1%
If Win 19.1%92.9%3.7%<1%<1%
If Draw 11.6%88.4%4.7%<1%<1%
If Lose 8.5%83.7%6.8%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

DortmundStatWerder Bremen
4Games played4
2.2Avg goals scored2.0
0.5Avg goals conceded2.0
100% / 0% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 25% / 25%
100% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
DortmundStatWerder Bremen
22All-time wins (31 meetings, 5 draws)4
3Last 5 meetings (2 draws)0
2.1Average goals1.0
Last meeting (2026-05-16): Werder Bremen 0–2 Dortmund