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Bundesliga
Sat, Oct 17, 2026 · 2:30 PM BST

Werder Bremen vs Paderborn Prediction & Win Probability

Werder Bremen has a 44% chance to win.

2-1-1 · Rating 1717
Form: WDWLL
VS
1-1-2 · Rating 1721
Form: WLLDD
Model Probability
44%
29%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Paderborn

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%3.1%3.0%13.2%4.5%
If Win <1%5.7%5.3%8.1%2.1%
If Draw <1%2.5%3.6%13.2%4.5%
If Lose <1%2.2%2.1%17.9%6.4%

Werder Bremen

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%4.5%4.2%9.8%2.6%
If Win <1%7.5%6.3%5.5%1.0%
If Draw <1%4.0%3.7%9.4%3.1%
If Lose <1%2.1%2.9%14.7%4.0%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Werder BremenStatPaderborn
4Games played4
2.0Avg goals scored0.8
2.0Avg goals conceded1.2
50% / 25% / 25%Win / Draw / Loss25% / 25% / 50%
100% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Werder BremenStatPaderborn
2All-time wins (4 meetings, 1 draws)1
2Last 4 meetings (1 draws)1
2.8Average goals1.0
Last meeting (2020-06-13): Paderborn 1–5 Werder Bremen