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Bundesliga
Sat, Oct 24, 2026 · 2:30 PM BST

Mainz vs Werder Bremen Prediction & Win Probability

Mainz has a 52% chance to win.

2-1-1 · Rating 1768
Form: WLWDW
VS
2-1-1 · Rating 1717
Form: WDWLL
Model Probability
52%
23%
Draw 26%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Werder Bremen

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%4.7%4.4%9.5%2.4%
If Win <1%9.0%6.7%5.2%<1%
If Draw <1%4.9%4.8%9.4%1.9%
If Lose <1%3.0%3.7%11.6%3.5%

Mainz

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%13.8%8.7%3.8%<1%
If Win <1%17.8%10.2%2.3%<1%
If Draw <1%10.8%8.6%3.9%<1%
If Lose <1%7.4%6.4%6.6%1.5%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MainzStatWerder Bremen
4Games played4
2.5Avg goals scored2.0
1.5Avg goals conceded2.0
50% / 25% / 25%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 25% / 25%
0% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MainzStatWerder Bremen
11All-time wins (31 meetings, 7 draws)13
1Last 5 meetings (1 draws)3
1.4Average goals1.3
Last meeting (2026-03-15): Werder Bremen 0–2 Mainz