Bundesliga
Sat, Oct 10, 2026 · 2:30 PM BST
Mainz vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction & Win Probability
Bayer Leverkusen has a 41% chance to win.
Model Probability
Draw 28%
Model Prediction Through Season
Bayer Leverkusen
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation | Relegation playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 1.9% | 56.4% | 13.2% | <1% | <1% |
| If Win | 3.5% | 65.9% | 12.0% | <1% | <1% |
| If Draw | 1.7% | 55.4% | 13.5% | <1% | <1% |
| If Lose | 1.1% | 45.1% | 12.7% | <1% | <1% |
Mainz
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation | Relegation playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 13.3% | 9.0% | 3.9% | <1% |
| If Win | <1% | 21.6% | 10.3% | 1.7% | <1% |
| If Draw | <1% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 4.0% | <1% |
| If Lose | <1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 1.1% |
| Mainz | Stat | Bayer Leverkusen |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Games played | 4 |
| 2.5 | Avg goals scored | 2.5 |
| 1.5 | Avg goals conceded | 1.2 |
| 50% / 25% / 25% | Win / Draw / Loss | 50% / 25% / 25% |
| 0% | Home win % / Away win % | 0% |
| Mainz | Stat | Bayer Leverkusen |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | All-time wins (33 meetings, 5 draws) | 19 |
| 0 | Last 5 meetings (2 draws) | 3 |
| 1.2 | Average goals | 1.7 |
Recent Results
Mainz
@ B. Monchengladbach
Sat, Sep 19, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4–3
vs Eintracht Frankfurt
Sat, Sep 12, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1–3
@ Hamburger SV
Sun, Sep 6, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 5
5–0
vs Paderborn
Sat, Aug 29, 2026 · Margin: 0 · Total: 0
0–0
@ Heidenheim
Sat, May 16, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2–0