Bundesliga
Sat, Oct 17, 2026 · 2:30 PM BST
Union Berlin vs Dortmund Prediction & Win Probability
Dortmund has a 59% chance to win.
Model Probability
Draw 23%
Model Prediction Through Season
Dortmund
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation | Relegation playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 16.7% | 90.9% | 4.1% | <1% | <1% |
| If Win | 18.4% | 93.4% | 3.3% | <1% | <1% |
| If Draw | 13.3% | 89.2% | 5.0% | <1% | <1% |
| If Lose | 10.0% | 83.6% | 6.9% | <1% | <1% |
Union Berlin
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation | Relegation playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | <1% | <1% | 28.4% | 17.2% |
| If Win | <1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 21.7% | 9.6% |
| If Draw | <1% | <1% | 1.1% | 26.9% | 15.1% |
| If Lose | <1% | <1% | <1% | 29.7% | 20.5% |
| Union Berlin | Stat | Dortmund |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Games played | 4 |
| 1.0 | Avg goals scored | 2.2 |
| 4.2 | Avg goals conceded | 0.5 |
| 0% / 25% / 75% | Win / Draw / Loss | 100% / 0% / 0% |
| 0% | Home win % / Away win % | 100% |
| Union Berlin | Stat | Dortmund |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | All-time wins (14 meetings, 0 draws) | 10 |
| 1 | Last 5 meetings (0 draws) | 4 |
| 1.0 | Average goals | 2.6 |
Recent Results
Union Berlin
@ Bayern Munich
Fri, Sep 18, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 7
0–7
vs Schalke
Fri, Sep 11, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1–3
@ Bayer Leverkusen
Sat, Sep 5, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 4
0–4
vs Eintracht Frankfurt
Sat, Aug 29, 2026 · Margin: 0 · Total: 6
3–3
vs Augsburg
Sat, May 16, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4
4–0