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Hoffenheim vs Mainz Prediction & Win Probability

Hoffenheim has a 48% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Fri, May 14, 2027 · 2:30 PM BST
Bundesliga
Hoffenheim
3-0-5Rating 1761
Form: LWWLL
vs
Model Probability
48%
Draw 26%
25%
Bundesliga
Mainz
3-1-4Rating 1733
Form: LLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Mainz

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%2.0%3.3%10.8%1.7%
If Win <1%3.9%4.0%7.3%1.1%
If Draw <1%2.4%2.7%10.2%1.6%
If Lose <1%1.5%2.2%12.3%2.9%

Hoffenheim

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%5.4%5.1%6.1%1.0%
If Win <1%7.0%5.4%4.3%<1%
If Draw <1%3.8%4.7%6.5%<1%
If Lose <1%2.8%3.8%8.5%2.0%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

HoffenheimStatMainz
8Games played8
1.8Avg goals scored2.1
2.0Avg goals conceded2.1
38% / 0% / 62%Win / Draw / Loss38% / 12% / 50%
50% Home win % / Away win % 75%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
HoffenheimStatMainz
9All-time wins (33 meetings, 9 draws)15
1Last 5 meetings (1 draws)3
1.5Average goals1.8
Last meeting (2026-04-04): Hoffenheim 1–2 Mainz